Iowa Caucus Results + Historical Polls

Iowa Caucus Final Results
Mitt Romney30,01524.6%
Rick Santorum30,00724.5%
Ron Paul26,21921.4%
Newt Gingrich16,25113.3%
Rick Perry12,60410.3%
Michele Bachmann
6,073
5%
Jon Huntsman
745
0.6%
Herman Cain
58
0%
Buddy Roemer
31
0%
No Preference
135
0.1%
Other
117
0.1%

Rick Santorum		29,66224.6%
Mitt Romney29,65724.5%
Ron Paul25,92621.5%
Newt Gingrich16,00213.2%
Rick Perry12,44210.3%
Michele Bachmann
6,031
5%
Jon Huntsman
734
0.6%
Herman Cain
58
0%
Buddy Roemer
47
0%
No Preference
131
0.1%
Other
118
0.1%
Results for Iowa Republican Caucus (U.S. Presidential Primary)
Jan 03, 2012 (98% of precincts reporting)
Mitt Romney29,62524.6%
Rick Santorum29,58424.5%
Ron Paul25,87521.5%
Newt Gingrich15,97413.2%
Rick Perry12,41010.3%
Michele Bachmann
6,016
5%
Jon Huntsman
732
0.6%
Herman Cain
58
0%
Buddy Roemer
47
0%
No Preference
131
0.1%
Other
118
0.1%
Results for Iowa Republican Caucus (U.S. Presidential Primary)
Jan 03, 2012 (96% of precincts reporting)
Rick Santorum28,95824.6%
Mitt Romney28,87924.6%
Ron Paul25,04421.3%
Newt Gingrich15,58013.3%
Rick Perry12,09310.3%
Michele Bachmann
5,899
5%
Jon Huntsman
702
0.6%
Herman Cain
57
0%
Buddy Roemer
47
0%
No Preference
129
0.1%
Other
115
0.1%
Results for Iowa Republican Caucus (U.S. Presidential Primary)
Jan 03, 2012 (93% of precincts reporting)
Rick Santorum28,20124.7%
Mitt Romney28,08624.6%
Ron Paul24,31021.3%
Newt Gingrich15,19113.3%
Rick Perry11,80210.3%
Michele Bachmann
5,782
5.1%
Jon Huntsman
671
0.6%
Herman Cain
57
0%
Buddy Roemer
46
0%
No Preference
122
0.1%
Other
109
0.1%
Results for Iowa Republican Caucus (U.S. Presidential Primary)
Jan 03, 2012 (88% of precincts reporting)
Rick Santorum26,44324.6%
Mitt Romney26,39824.5%
Ron Paul22,72821.1%
Newt Gingrich14,24413.2%
Rick Perry11,09910.3%
Michele Bachmann
5,496
5.1%
Jon Huntsman
628
0.6%
Herman Cain
53
0%
Buddy Roemer
44
0%
Other
277
0.3%
No Preference
168
0.2%




Results for Iowa Republican Caucus (U.S. Presidential Primary)
Jan 03, 2012 (49% of precincts reporting)
Rick Santorum13,59424.3%
Mitt Romney13,20423.6%
Ron Paul12,20521.8%
Newt Gingrich7,42613.3%
Rick Perry5,67110.1%
Michele Bachmann
3,140
5.6%
Jon Huntsman
313
0.6%
Herman Cain
23
0%
Buddy Roemer
9
0%
Other
229
0.4%
No Preference
115
0.2%



















Bachmann



Jon Huntsman
313
0.6%
Herman Cain
23
0%
Buddy Roemer
9
0%
Other
229
0.4%
No Preference
115
0.2%
Results for Iowa Republican Caucus (U.S. Presidential Primary)
Jan 03, 2012 (18% of precincts reporting)
Ron Paul4,44024%
Rick Santorum4,29223.2%
Mitt Romney4,18322.6%
Newt Gingrich2,46013.3%
Rick Perry1,8179.8%
Michele Bachmann
1,096
5.9%
Jon Huntsman
126
0.7%
Herman Cain
7
0%
Buddy Roemer
6
0%
No Preference
25
0.1%
Other
17
0.1%

Results for Iowa Republican Caucus (U.S. Presidential Primary)
Jan 03, 2012 (6% of precincts reporting)
Rick Santorum1,22924.2%
Ron Paul1,20423.7%
Mitt Romney1,13222.3%
Newt Gingrich69013.6%
Rick Perry4609%
Michele Bachmann
323
6.4%
Jon Huntsman
26
0.5%
Herman Cain
4
0.1%
Buddy Roemer
2
0%
No Preference
9
0.2%
Other
7
0.1%













































First Wave of Iowa Precincts Reporting  7:46 PM
1% reporting
Ron Paul 23%
Mitt Romney 18%
Rich Santoum 26%

The caucuses have begun.

Taking a look at the last poll by PPP. The wildcard here is Michelle Bachman. President Barack Obama has been hitting the ground hard in Iowa campaigning for the general election which may indicate why the poll indicates 28% of Iowans said they weren't sure or someone besides the main contenders were running the strongest campaign in Iowa. Voters rated Ron Paul as running the strongest Iowa campaign with 22% agreeing. In second, Michelle Bachman with 19% agreeing she is running the strongest campaign. Every other candidate ranked in the single digits.

Michelle Bachman ranked 7% from Iowans when asked who has the best chance of beating Barack Obama which may be why she hasn't received any momentum since the Iowa straw poll where she briefly broke to the front of the pack only to dissapear from frontrunner status  since August 2011.

Iowa Caucuses Pollster Spreads 2011 - 2012---------
The Republican Presidential Race officially begins this evening as Iowan's will participate in the first caucuses tonight at 7 PM at polling stations throughout the state.

Polls taken over the last week indicate a high level of indecision teetering between 40 to 45 percent of caucus goers remaining undecided.



Latest Poll by PPP Candidate Choice by Demographics \
The Republican nomination process has been a roller coaster with each contender seeming to have his/her moment in the sun. The grid posted above shows the demographic spread of each candidate by gender age group and race extracted from the most recent poll of Iowan candidates. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is the most likely to take a hit due to severe weather as the favored candidate for older Iowans. Current weather in Iowa is averaging in the teens.

Here's the last few polling results of Iowan's likely to attend the caucuses.

PollDateSampleRomney Paul Santorum Gingrich Perry Bachmann Huntsman Cain Spread












Insider Advantage1/1 - 1/1729 LV232218161062--Romney +1
PPP (D)12/31 - 1/11340 LV192018141084--Paul +1
Des Moines Register12/27 - 12/30602 LV242215121172--Romney +2
Rasmussen Reports12/28 - 12/28750 LV232216131353--Romney +1
NBC News/Marist12/27 - 12/28425 LV232115131462--Romney +2



































Results over the last year demonstrate the roller-coaster of Republican candidate support:
























Date             Spread            Pollster
1/1 - 1/1    Romney +1    Insider Advantage
12/31 - 1/1    Paul +1    PPP (D)
12/27 - 12/30    Romney +2    Des Moines Register
12/28 - 12/28    Romney +1    Rasmussen Reports
12/27 - 12/28    Romney +2    NBC News/Marist
12/28 - 12/28    Tie    Insider Advantage
12/26 - 12/27    Paul +4    PPP (D)
12/21 - 12/27    Romney +3    CNN/Time
12/19 - 12/19    Romney +5    Rasmussen Reports
12/18 - 12/18    Paul +6    Insider Advantage
12/16 - 12/18    Paul +3    PPP (D)
12/8 - 12/18    Paul +3    ISU/Gazette/KCRG
12/13 - 12/13    Romney +3    Rasmussen Reports
12/12 - 12/12    Gingrich +10    Insider Advantage
12/11 - 12/13    Gingrich +1    PPP (D)
11/30 - 12/7    Gingrich +10    Univ. of Iowa
11/30 - 12/5    Gingrich +14    CBS News/NY Times
12/3 - 12/5    Gingrich +9    PPP (D)
11/29 - 12/6    Gingrich +13    CNN/Time
11/30 - 12/4    Gingrich +15    ABC News/Wash Post
11/27 - 11/30    Gingrich +7    Des Moines Register
11/27 - 11/29    Gingrich +8    NBC News/Marist
11/28 - 11/28    Gingrich +15    Insider Advantage
11/15 - 11/15    Gingrich +13    Rasmussen Reports
11/11 - 11/13    Cain +1    The Polling Company (R)
11/10 - 11/12    Cain +1    Bloomberg News
11/8 - 11/8    Cain +4    Insider Advantage
11/1 - 11/13    Cain +5    ISU/Gazette/KCRG
11/3 - 11/3    Cain +15    Insider Advantage
10/23 - 10/26    Cain +1    Des Moines Register
10/20 - 10/25    Romney +3    CNN/Time
10/19 - 10/19    Cain +7    Rasmussen Reports
10/12 - 10/19    Cain +10    Univ. of Iowa
10/16 - 10/16    Cain +8    Insider Advantage
10/7 - 10/10    Cain +8    PPP (D)
10/3 - 10/5    Romney +6    NBC News/Marist
8/31 - 8/31    Perry +11    Rasmussen Reports
8/22 - 8/23    Perry +2    Magellan Strategies (R)
8/19 - 8/21    Perry +3    PPP (D)
8/4 - 8/4    Bachmann +1    Rasmussen Reports
7/10 - 7/11    Bachmann +13    Magellan Strategies (R)
7/5 - 7/7    Bachmann +3    Mason-Dixon
6/26 - 6/30    Bachmann +4    TIR-Voter/Consumer Res. (R)
6/19 - 6/22    Romney +1    Des Moines Register
5/27 - 5/30    Romney +6    PPP (D)
4/15 - 4/17    Romney +10    PPP (D)
3/29 - 4/4    Romney +6    Neighborhood (R)
1/7 - 1/9    Romney +5    PPP (D)
1/3 - 1/8    Romney +11    Neighborhood (R)
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
     
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